Monitoring found that this week, some manufacturers in Henan main production areas stopped production again and then resumed production, but some manufacturers closed down this week and started the Spring Festival holiday mode. In terms of market, as shown in the figure above, the market of domestic polyaluminum chloride with solid content ≥ 28% decreased slightly this week, from 1800 yuan / ton to 1742.86 yuan / ton, down 3.17%.

Industrial chain: as shown in the figure, first of all, in terms of upstream raw materials, according to the data of business society, the price of hydrochloric acid in North China this week was stable at 195 yuan / ton, the price of upstream liquid chlorine was general, the cost support was poor, the maintenance of downstream hydrochloric acid enterprises increased, the demand decreased, the inventory of hydrochloric acid supply enterprises was large, the purchasing enthusiasm of downstream was general, and the market supply exceeded the demand. Secondly, the natural gas used in the production of polyaluminum chloride increased from 3866.67 yuan / ton to 4306.67 yuan / ton this week In the short term, liquid prices are still expected to rise. However, as the year is approaching, downstream users will stop work one after another for holidays, purchasing enthusiasm will decline, and the demand side will continue to weaken. In addition, the supply side is relatively stable in the near future, and the liquid prices in the future will continue to rise. There is a downward risk. Although the prices of hydrochloric acid and liquefied gas rose this week, due to the fact that the water treatment enterprises are approaching the holiday, the procurement has basically stopped, and the production has decreased, the impact of the above three commodity prices on the water treatment enterprises is weak.

Downstream demand: at present, it is approaching the Spring Festival holiday. It is said that many downstream manufacturers have a holiday or are approaching a holiday, and the demand has become light. In 2020, the water treatment industry will end with the best market of the year. However, in the first month of 2021, with the resumption of production, the output increased to a certain extent, and the overall market went down, lower than the price in the same period of 2020.

Future forecast: according to the analysis of the business community, at the end of January 2021, the water treatment manufacturers and downstream demand enterprises have gradually started the Spring Festival holiday mode, the demand is weakening, and the turnover is decreasing. Under the special situation, some water treatment enterprises promise to have normal production during the new year, hoarding inventory for downstream procurement after the Spring Festival, and the future price is mainly stable.

According to the monitoring of the business community, the market price of phthalic anhydride in China rose slightly in the middle and late January. As of the 27th, the price of phthalic anhydride was 5725 yuan / ton, which rose 2.0% in half a month and fell 7.29% year-on-year. The spot supply was normal and the market price of phthalic anhydride was firm.

In late January, the market price of phthalic anhydride rose slightly, the market situation of phthalic anhydride was normal, the downstream demand was normal in the near future, the price trend of o-benzene was stable, the plasticizer Market improved slightly, and the price of phthalic anhydride rose slightly. Domestic phthalic anhydride manufacturers started at a low level. The operating rate of phthalic anhydride in the market was about 60%. The domestic phthalic anhydride spot supply was slightly tight. The price of phthalic anhydride in the market was firm. The downstream plasticizer industry rose slightly. The actual transaction was not obviously good, and the price of phthalic anhydride did not rise much. The market price of phthalic anhydride in East China rose slightly, with limited high-end transactions on the market. In East China, the mainstream of negotiation on the supply of neighboring France was 5800-6000 yuan / ton, and the mainstream of negotiation on the supply of naphthalene was 5500-5600 yuan / ton. In North China, the mainstream quotation on the market of phthalic anhydride was 5600-5800 yuan / ton, and the market outlook of phthalic anhydride still existed. The downstream procurement did not increase significantly, and the power of continuous rise in the later period was insufficient.

In late January, the price trend of domestic o-benzene was temporarily stable, and the market price remained at the level of 4700 yuan / ton. The low price of domestic o-benzene was due to the bad influence of phthalic anhydride market. In addition, the import o-benzene market in port area remained at a low level, and the external quotation of o-benzene did not change much. The actual transaction price was subject to negotiation, and the actual transaction price was discussed in detail. Coupled with the strong wait-and-see sentiment of o-benzene merchants in the market, the price of o-benzene was low However, the price of raw material o-benzene was low, which was bad for the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride, and the price of phthalic anhydride in the market did not rise much.

In late January, the market price of phthalic anhydride downstream DOP rose slightly. According to the monitoring of the business community, the domestic DOP price was 9475 yuan / ton as of the 28th. The price of isooctanol in the market fluctuated mainly. The equipment start-up of DOP enterprises was temporarily stable, the price of PVC fluctuated and warmed up, and the demand of downstream customers was low. Plasticizer market has a strong upward momentum and downward pressure still exists. The transaction price is subject to the real-time price. The overall DOP price is about 9250-9600 yuan / ton. The downstream market has an upward trend, and the domestic price of phthalic anhydride rises slightly due to the tight supply.

On the whole, the crude oil price maintains a high level in the near future. In addition, winter is the peak season for the plasticizer industry, and the phthalic anhydride market is supported by favorable conditions, so the price continues to rise.

In the future, the domestic price trend of o-benzene is mainly volatile, but the transaction market of plasticizer has risen, and the price of plasticizer still has the power to rise. It is expected that the market price of phthalic anhydride will rise slightly in the future.

Trade name: chlorinated paraffin

Latest price (January 27): 5133.33 yuan / ton

Analysis points on January 27, the overall trend of domestic chlorinated paraffin market was acceptable, the price of upstream liquid paraffin was relatively stable, the price of liquid chlorine market was stable, and the price was high. In some areas, chlorinated paraffin manufacturers have parking plans and mainly digest the early inventory. The market demand is not good, the downstream enterprises’ purchasing intention is light, the traders take the goods carefully, and the wait-and-see mood is obvious. Business community chlorinated paraffin analysts believe that the overall market trading atmosphere of chlorinated paraffin is general, mainly in the early stage of inventory digestion. New orders are limited in the market. It is expected that the price of chlorinated paraffin will be stable in the short term.

According to the price monitoring of business news agency, the price trend of sulfur in East China rose slightly this week. The average price of sulfur production at the weekend was 1040 yuan / ton, up 3.65% compared with 1003.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week and 106.62% compared with the same period last year.

This week, the domestic sulfur price was stable and small. During the week, the inventory of refineries in various regions of China was low. Downstream factories and traders purchased on demand. The seller’s shipment was not under pressure, and the quotations of some refineries went up. Sinopec Jinling Petrochemical’s solid sulfur price in East China increased by 50 yuan / ton, while other enterprises’ sulfur price was temporarily stable; Sinopec Shandong’s solid sulfur price increased by 30 yuan / ton; Sinopec North China’s solid sulfur price was stable, and the liquid sulfur price was delivered to the target market. As of the 24th, the regional price of sulfur in China is as follows:

24 Jan 2005

1050-1280 yuan / ton of sulfur (particle) in East China

Sulfur (particle) 870-920 yuan / ton in North China

1020-1050 yuan / ton of sulfur (particle) in Shandong Province

The downstream phosphate fertilizer market is good, the manufacturers have no pressure to ship, the price continues to rise, and the market trend is upward. In terms of sulphuric acid, the domestic market was in downward consolidation, the price trend in Shandong was down, affected by public health events, the supply of goods to Hebei was limited, the downstream demand was weak, the prices of mainstream sulphuric acid manufacturers fell, and the holiday was approaching, so it was not ruled out that the downstream could be prepared before the festival, and the sulphuric acid market might rise slightly in the later period.

Sulfur analysts from business news agency believe that the inventory of domestic refineries remains at a low level, the downstream demand is acceptable, and the manufacturers’ shipment is smooth. In terms of ports, the cargo rights are concentrated, the offer of the cargo holders is stable, the operators in the yard hold a wait-and-see attitude, and the short-term sulfur market is temporarily stable.

The international crude oil price was blocked, but after the “five consecutive rises” of domestic refined oil price adjustment was implemented, refinery gasoline rose slightly, and the overall supply of MTBE market was tight, which promoted the price rise of domestic MTBE market. According to the data of business news agency, the price of MTBE on January 22 was 4500 yuan / ton, up 1.85% from the beginning of the week.

This week, the rising trend of international oil prices was blocked, with WTI crude oil prices down 0.29% and Brent crude oil prices up 0.56%. In terms of gasoline demand, the cold weather in winter, the increased willingness of car travel, and the “five consecutive rises” of domestic refined oil price adjustment have enhanced the willingness of terminal transaction in the refined oil market

Recently, the market price of MTBE has reached a high level all the way. With the increase of gasoline production cost in refineries, the purchasing of raw materials has also begun to be cautious. However, the manufacturers’ inventory is relatively low and the cost of feed gas is still at a relatively high level, and the domestic MTBE market price continues to rise.

MTBE product analysts of business society energy branch think: the international crude oil price is blocked, the gasoline price is expected to be stable in the downward trend, the purchase intention of MTBE and other intermediate materials is weakened, and the market price of MTBE is expected to callback.

According to the data monitored by the business community, as of January 22, the quotation of pet water bottle manufacturers was 5833.33 yuan / ton. This week, the price of PET bottle chips was weak, down 0.28% compared with the same period last week. Now the price range of mainstream manufacturers is around 5800-5900 yuan / ton, and the trading atmosphere is general.

This week, the domestic PET bottle chip market was weak, with general cost support and smooth delivery. The overall market negotiation center was stable, the transaction atmosphere was flat, and the operating rate was normal. The PET bottle chip market just needed capital to go, the inventory was normal, and there was no pressure. The overall market was stable and weak, and the demand was limited,

PTA in the upper reaches of this week’s stable and weak operation, high market operation rate, smooth delivery, high inventory operation, and stable operation in the short term.

On January 21, the rubber and plastic index was 712 points, up 2 points from yesterday, down 32.83% from 1060 points (2012-03-14), the highest point in the cycle, and up 34.85% from 528 points, the lowest point on April 6, 2020. (Note: period refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to now)

Business community pet analysts believe that: in the short term, the pet market will maintain a stable operation. (the above prices are provided by major pet manufacturers all over the country and sorted out and analyzed by business pet analysts. They are for reference only. Please contact relevant manufacturers for more details.)

On January 20, 2021, the price of metallic silicon (441) was lowered. According to the data of business news agency, on January 20, the average market price of domestic metallic silicon (441) was 13383.33 yuan / ton, down 2.73% compared with the average market price of 13758.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of January (1.1).

On the 20th, the prices of 441 silicon in different regions were as follows:

The price range of silicon metal in Fujian is 12600-12800 yuan / ton, that in Sichuan is 13100-13200 yuan / ton, that in Kunming is 13100-13300 yuan / ton, that in Shanghai is 14100-14300 yuan / ton, that in Tianjin is 13500-13600 yuan / ton, and that in Huangpu is 13400-13600 yuan / ton .

At present, the supply and demand of Southwest silicon factory are weak, and the market trading is weak. On the one hand, affected by the logistics factors, the shipment is smaller than the previous period; on the other hand, the downstream and exporters have a certain demand for goods preparation near the Spring Festival, but based on the expectation of weak silicon price, the purchasing sentiment is not high.

1、 Domestic sodium pyrosulfite price trend chart

According to the monitoring of the business agency, the domestic price of sodium pyrosulfite was stable as a whole this week. The average price of industrial sodium pyrosulfite was 1683.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week and 1683.33 yuan / ton at the end of the week, which was stable as a whole.

2、 Market analysis

This week, the domestic sodium pyrosulfite market as a whole has been steadily moving forward. The market price range of industrial grade sodium pyrosulfite is 1550-1750 yuan / ton, and most of the prices are concentrated in 1600-1700 yuan / ton. Enterprises to complete old customers just need orders, new orders increase limited. (the above prices are quoted by domestic mainstream enterprises, and some enterprises not quoted are not within their scope. The prices are for reference only and have nothing to do with the final pricing of manufacturers. For details, please contact each manufacturer for consultation).

This week, the domestic soda price continued to be stable, and the sulfur price rose slightly by 1.01%. Overall, the raw material cost of sodium pyrosulfite rose slightly after the overall weakness stabilized, and the future market price of sodium pyrosulfite is expected to get some support.

3、 Future forecast

Business analysts believe that the cost of raw materials is stable, the market demand is stable, and the domestic market price of sodium pyrosulfite will continue to be stable in the short term.

1、 Polyoxymethylene market price trend chart

Price curve of paraformaldehyde

According to the monitoring of the business agency, the average price of paraformaldehyde this week is 5600 yuan / ton, and the quotation is temporarily stable.

2、 Market analysis

Shandong formaldehyde Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 30000 tons of polyoxymethylene, offers 5400 yuan / ton of Polyoxymethylene (96) including tax, which is the same as last week. Linyi Shengyang Chemical Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 9000 tons of polyoxymethylene, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory price including tax is 6000 yuan / ton, which is 700 yuan / ton higher than last week. Zibo Qixing Chemical Technology Co., Ltd. has an annual output of 10000 tons of polyoxymethylene. The ex factory price of Polyoxymethylene (96) is 5400 yuan / ton, which is the same as last week. Affected by the epidemic situation, most of the manufacturers basically shut down, the market supply of paraformaldehyde was tight, and the quotation of individual enterprises rose. The market demand of paraformaldehyde is acceptable.

Upstream raw material methanol, according to the monitoring data of the business community, the domestic methanol market rose this week, with a range of 1.72%.

3、 Future forecast

Polyoxymethylene market tight supply, early week prices rise, business community polyoxymethylene analysts expect that polyoxymethylene or behavior on the main.

According to statistics, the domestic ammonium nitrate price rose slightly this week. By the end of the week, the domestic ammonium nitrate market price was 2860 yuan / ton, 0.35% higher than the price of 2850 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, and 20.17% higher than the same period last year. On January 15, the commodity index of ammonium nitrate was 150.53, which was the same as yesterday, decreased by 1.38% compared with 152.63 points (2020-11-24), the highest point in the cycle, and increased by 94.56% compared with 77.37 points, the lowest point on October 31, 2016. (Note: period refers to the period from February 1, 2013 to now).

This week, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate market rose slightly. Domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers started their plants normally, and the supply of ammonium nitrate in the yard was slightly tight. Some manufacturers reported that the delivery situation was general, and the price trend of manufacturers rose slightly. Recently, the supply of goods in the yard was tight, and the transportation was normal, so the market price of ammonium nitrate rose. Recently, the shipment market of ammonium nitrate manufacturers is normal, and the downstream is purchased on demand. The domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers start work normally, and the prices of some manufacturers rise slightly. Up to now, the mainstream negotiation in Shaanxi is 2600-2700 yuan / ton, the mainstream negotiation in Shandong is 2200-2300 yuan / ton, and the price in Hebei is 3000-3300 yuan / ton.

This week, the domestic price of concentrated nitric acid was stable, with 2050 yuan / ton at the weekend, which was the same as 2050 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week. Jiangsu Hongze Yinzhu chemical quoted 2200 yuan / ton; Anhui Jinhe quoted 2000 yuan / ton; Shandong helitai quoted 2200 yuan / ton. The price of synthetic chemical industry in Wenshui County is 1950 yuan / ton. In recent years, the domestic maintenance units have been running normally, the supply of concentrated nitric acid market is normal, the delivery situation in the market has improved, the price trend of nitric acid in the market remains high, the high price of nitric acid is a good support for the ammonium nitrate Market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate market rises slightly.

The price trend of upstream liquid ammonia rose slightly this week, with the weekend price of 3326.67 yuan / ton, 1.84% higher than the price of 3266.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week. The operation of liquid ammonia plant in the yard was normal, the spot supply in the yard was slightly tight, and the price trend of liquid ammonia market rose sharply. In terms of fundamentals, the supply and demand of liquid ammonia market is mainly balanced, and the operation of some plants is stable. It is expected that the supply of ammonia will be mainly balanced in the short term. Therefore, it is expected that the price trend of domestic liquid ammonia market will rise in the near future, which will be supported by the production restriction in some areas such as Shanxi and the decline of operating rate. From the downstream, in the off-season of agricultural fertilizer, the terminal does not pick up the goods, and there is no market in many places, which makes it difficult to maintain the rising trend of liquid ammonia. This week, the upstream prices all rose, and the market price trend of ammonium nitrate rose slightly.

In the near future, the demand of downstream civil explosive industry is normal, and the production and marketing of nitro compound fertilizer is normal, and the price trend of raw material market rises. However, the spot supply of ammonium nitrate is general, which has certain positive support for the ammonium nitrate Market. The ammonium nitrate analysts of business community think that the market price of ammonium nitrate may rise slightly in the later period.