Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, the price of calcium carbide manufactured in Northwest China was temporarily stable this week. The average price quoted by mainstream carbide producers this week was 3,016.67 yuan/ton, up 3.59% from the same period last year. Overall, the market of calcium carbide was stable this week, with the index of calcium carbide commodity on July 26 being 79.04.

II. Trend Analysis

(1) Products:

This week’s northwest region calcium carbide factory price is temporarily stable: Ovega can quote 3,100 yuan/ton this week, the quotation is temporarily stable; Shaanxi Coal Industry quoted 2,950 yuan/ton this week, the quotation is temporarily stable; Inner Mongolia China Federation quoted 3,050 yuan/ton this week, the quotation is temporarily stable; Ningxia Xingping this week’s calcium carbide quotation is 2,900 yuan/ton, the quotation is temporarily stable.

This weekend, the actual transaction price of calcium carbide in Northwest China is about 2900-3050 yuan/ton: the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Shaanxi is about 3000 yuan/ton; the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Ningxia is about 2900 yuan/ton; the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Inner Mongolia is about 3000 yuan/ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated.

(2) Industrial chain:

Upstream raw material market: This week, coke ex-factory quotation rose from 1746.67 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 1803.33 yuan/ton at the end of the week, up 3.24%, down 7.22% from the same period last year. The price of raw materials in the upstream rises, which is affected by the price, and has a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide.

Downstream market: PVC ex-factory prices rose slightly this week. The price of PVC rose from 6732.50 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 6742.50 yuan/ton at the end of the week, up 10.00 yuan/ton, up 0.15%, down 1.04% from the same period last year. The upstream customers’enthusiasm for calcium carbide purchasing and the rising demand for calcium carbide have a positive impact on the market of calcium carbide.

3. Future Market Forecast

After the adjustment in June, the capital reflux of each factory is in good condition, the equipment has been repaired and the production capacity has increased. The price rise of raw materials in the upstream has a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide. The price of PVC in the downstream has an upward trend. Customers’enthusiasm for procurement of calcium carbide has also increased, and the demand for calcium carbide has increased. Later market forecast that the price of calcium carbide in the northwest region will rise concussively in late July, but the increase is not large, and the ex-factory price may remain around 3050 yuan/ton.