I. price trend

According to the monitoring of bulk data from the business agency, the domestic trichloromethane market remained stable at a low level this week, and the price of trichloromethane in Shandong Province remained around 1900 yuan / ton in the week.

II. Cause analysis

Product reason: affected by the continuous weak demand of refrigerant market, the domestic market price of chloroform has fallen to a low level. At present, the overall market supply is abundant, and there is no obvious sign of improvement in the short term. At present, the price of chloroform in Shandong Province is about 1900 yuan / ton; the price of chloroform in Jiangsu Province is about 3800 yuan / ton; the price of Liwen in Jiangxi Province is about 2850 yuan / ton. In terms of unit start-up, Jinling, Shandong Province started normal operation, Luxi Chemical industry started 60%, Jiangsu Liwen unit started normal operation, Jiangxi Liwen unit started 50%.

Industry chain: in the upstream, the domestic methanol market has been adjusted in a week of shock, and the market has been mainly on the sidelines, with a decline of 0.25% in the week, and at present, about 2350 yuan / ton; the overall start-up of the liquid chlorine market has declined, but the downstream market has received goods flat, stable in the week, and at present, the enterprise reports about 300 yuan / ton more. In the downstream, the terminal demand of R22 market has not improved significantly, and some enterprises have issued maintenance plans in succession. At present, the factory price of bulk water is 12500-16000 yuan / ton; the pharmaceutical and agricultural intermediates industry is affected by environmental protection, and the construction is flat, and the purchase of rigid demand.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 41st week of 2019 (10.14-10.18), there are 14 kinds of commodities in the chemical industry sector, including 4 kinds of commodities with an increase of more than 5%, accounting for 4.8% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities are DMF (12.00%), hydrogen peroxide (11.62%) and sulfur (5.32%). There are 38 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, 8 kinds of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 9.5% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three products falling are butadiene (- 9.07%), phenol (- 7.16%) and isopropanol (- 6.22%).

III. future forecast

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, the market of trichloromethane is in the off-season at present, and there is no sign of recovery at the demand side. The price of trichloromethane has fallen to a low level, and there is insufficient downward space. It is expected that the market of trichloromethane will maintain a stable low level in the short term.