1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China rose slightly this week. This week, the average ex factory price of mainstream carbide manufacturers increased from 2730.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 2773.33 yuan / ton at the end of the week, up 1.59%, 3.87% year-on-year higher than the same period last year. Overall, calcium carbide market rose slightly this week, with the calcium carbide commodity index at 72.66 on January 10.

2、 Trend analysis

（1） Products:

The ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China this week slightly increased: oveganeng’s price of calcium carbide this weekend was 2700 yuan / ton, up 80 yuan / ton compared with that at the beginning of the week; Shaanxi coal industry’s price of calcium carbide this weekend was 2550 yuan / ton, up 50 yuan / ton compared with that at the beginning of the week; Inner Mongolia Zoomlion’s price of calcium carbide this week was 2870 yuan / ton, up 50 yuan / ton compared with that at the beginning of the week; Ningxia Xingping’s price of electricity this weekend The price of stone is 2750 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week.

This weekend, the actual transaction price of carbide in Northwest China is about 2500-2900 yuan / ton: the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Shaanxi is about 2500-2700 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Ningxia is about 2750 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Inner Mongolia is about 2870 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated.

（2） Industrial chain:

Upstream raw material Market: the ex factory quotation of Lancan is temporarily stable this week, and the quotation of small materials is 730.00 yuan / ton. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low and consolidated, and the cost support is insufficient, which has a negative impact on the price of calcium carbide.

Downstream market: PVC factory price fell slightly this week. PVC quotation dropped from 6850.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 6825.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 0.36%, up 5.41% year on year. Although the downstream PVC market fell slightly this week, compared with last year, the price is higher, and downstream customers have a higher enthusiasm for purchasing calcium carbide. As a whole, PVC market this week has a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide.

3、 Future forecast

After the adjustment in December, the capital return of each plant is in good condition, the equipment maintenance is completed, and the production capacity is increased. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low, and the cost support is not enough, but the PVC market in the downstream is good, and customers in the downstream are more active in purchasing calcium carbide. The aftermarket forecasts that the price of calcium carbide in the northwest may rise in the middle of January.