441# silicon price trend

 

PVA 0588 ( PVA BP05)

After rising for five consecutive weeks, metal silicon showed a negative decline. On the 18th, the average price of metal silicon in the domestic market was 23700 yuan / ton, down 0.88% on a weekly basis. The culprit of this price reduction is the demand side. The market sentiment is negative and the willingness to purchase metal silicon is weak.

 

The price of 441# silicon in various regions on the 18th is as follows:

 

The price range of #441 metal silicon in Huangpu port is 23600-23700 yuan / ton, with an average price of 23650 yuan / ton; The price range of #441 metallic silicon in Tianjin port area is 23400-23600 yuan / ton, with an average price of 23500 yuan / ton; The price range of #441 metallic silicon in Kunming is 23400-23500 yuan / ton, with an average of 23450 yuan / ton; The price range of #441 metallic silicon in Sichuan is 23300-23500 yuan / ton, with an average of 23400 yuan / ton; The price range of Shanghai #441 metal silicon is 24400-24600 yuan / ton, with an average price of 24500 yuan / ton.

 

Influencing factors of metal silicon price fluctuation

Benefit

 

On the supply side, Yunnan production area is greatly affected by the epidemic, the production of silicon plants is blocked, and the transportation of raw materials and products is difficult due to road control and other reasons, and the freight rate is also increased, resulting in tight market supply; On the raw material side, the prices of clean coal, petroleum coke and silica have increased, and the production cost has increased. At present, the main positive factors are the support of raw materials. The silicon factory has a tough attitude of reluctant to sell, and the price has been falsely high all the way.

 

Bad

POLYVINYL ALCOHOL

Under the game of market supply and demand, the seller’s market is at a disadvantage, the prices of silicone and aluminum alloy have fallen, the market sentiment has been affected, but the price of metal silicon has been suppressed, the panic of some silicon factories has appeared, and the sale at a lower price has led to more transactions.

 

The ex factory price of organosilicon DMC is around 35000-39000 yuan / ton, and the overall market will maintain stable operation after warming. The supply and demand of silicone is unbalanced, and some new production capacity is continuously released. However, due to the impact of the epidemic, the procurement and replenishment of the downstream are stagnant. It is expected that the silicone market will be consolidated and operated in a narrow range; Polycrystalline silicon showed a slight upward trend. The main reason supporting the rise of polycrystalline silicon is that the increase of domestic silicon material supply in March was less than expected, but the downstream resisted high prices, and the mobility of silicon materials may continue to be limited in the later stage; Aluminum alloy merchants basically have no intention of hoarding goods. Shanghai aluminum plummeted and aluminum alloy followed. Most merchants choose to wait and see,

 

Future forecast

 

Recently, the consumer side just needs to purchase, the inquiry activity is reduced, the cost of the supply side is stronger, and the willingness to support the price is strong. At present, it is in the stalemate game stage, and the mentality trend of the buyer and the seller is seriously divided. Business analysts expect metal silicon prices to continue to decline in the short term.

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